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2024-12-14 01:18:21

Monday's Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is already in tune. There is no doubt that the main topic of this central economic work conference is still this one, by implementing more active and promising macro policies to stabilize the property market and the stock market.The stock market is a policy market. Don't always think what you mean by what you say. The personal perspective is simple. We should enlarge the pattern, have a macro view and a long-term vision.The meeting decided that next year, we should focus on the following key tasks, lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation, build a modern industrial system, carry out artificial intelligence+actions, and cultivate future industries. More efforts should be made to attract social capital to participate in venture capital and comprehensively rectify the "involution" competition.


4. Central Economic Work Conference: Next year, we will vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency and expand domestic demand in all directions.It is inevitable that the country will vigorously boost large consumption, which will inevitably increase, and the large consumption in the stock market will also rise, which is driven by policies. Therefore, this week's large consumption will continue to rise actively, and tomorrow's large consumption sector will continue to rise actively.The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, reduce the RRR and interest rates in a timely manner, maintain sufficient liquidity, and make the scale of social financing and the growth of money supply match the expected goals of economic growth and overall price level.


This is the tone of the main work in 2025. The main direction is to vigorously boost consumption, including issuing consumer vouchers in many places, including boosting the stock market, which is also expected to boost consumption. The stock market and large consumption are expected to form a good positive cycle development.To implement a more active fiscal policy and improve the fiscal deficit ratio, this means that the fiscal leverage ratio will reach 4.5 trillion yuan, and at the same time, it will continue to increase the ultra-long-term special national debt to about 2 trillion yuan, and increase the appropriate leverage ratio, which is equivalent to the periphery. Our deficit ratio is still stable and has some surplus. This is an appropriate and loose incremental fiscal policy, which is conducive to promoting the continued economic recovery and growth and the rebound of the stock market.As the saying goes, a rising tide lifts all boats, and the currency maintains abundant liquidity, then there will be corresponding capital inflows to real estate and A-share securities market, which will bring positive boost to A-share financial market, especially the RRR cut and interest rate cut, and some funds will flow into A-share securities market appropriately, which is conducive to the mid-term rise of the stock market.

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